Alan Lakein

Planning: Turning Tomorrow's Intentions Into Today’s Action

Finally, wise planning anticipates human blind spots. The planning fallacy (Kahneman and Tversky, 1979) and Hofstadter’s Law remind us that work often takes longer than expected, so buffers and slack are not luxuries but safeguards. Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s notion of antifragility (2012) suggests designing plans that benefit from volatility—modular work, small bets, and reversible steps. In practice, this means committing to direction while keeping tactics adjustable, ensuring that the future you invited into the present can still surprise you without breaking your stride. [...]